Fantasy football rankings 2024: Sleepers, busts, breakouts from model that nailed Deebo Samuel's slow NFL year (2024)

If there is a quarterback in line to have a bounce-back season, it may be Justin Herbert. The Chargers' play-caller was the QB5 heading into Week 13 despite the team's offensive woes, but an index finger injury derailed the rest of his season and left him finishing as the QB12. Herbert's arm talent makes him one of the possible 2024 Fantasy football sleepers, although he will be working with a new offense that won't have Keenan Allen or Mike Williams. Then there is new head coach Jim Harbaugh, whose preference of a run-heavy game could also cut into Herbert's 2024 Fantasy football projections. Do you have confidence in Herbert to have a bounce-back season, or are the factors working against him make him one of the 2024 Fantasy football busts?

With a reliable set of live-updated Fantasy football rankings 2024, you can uncover potential 2024 Fantasy football sleepers, 2024 Fantasy football breakouts, and 2024 Fantasy football busts. Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts.Head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers

One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson. The 26-year-old had 857 total yards in 12 games last season, averaging 71.4 yards per game. In a full season the year before, Stevenson had 1,461 total yards, which was 11th among NFL running backs. There's not much to love for Fantasy football value in the Patriots offense this season, but Stevenson's expected high workload and production over the last two seasons is one of them.

Stevenson has averaged 3.7 receptions per game over the last two seasons and with Jacoby Brissett and Drake Maye both expected to see some time at quarterback this season, there could be a significant amount of dump-off passes to the running backs. Stevenson is the clear RB1 in New England without top wide receivers or tight ends on the roster, Stevenson's workload alone could make him a 2024 Fantasy football sleeper. The model has him ranked inside the top 20 running backs in Fantasy football and he's going outside the top 20 in 2024 Fantasy football drafts, providing value based on ADP.See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here.

Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Dolphins running back De'Von Achane. The Texas A&M product finished his rookie campaign with 103 rushes for 800 yards and eight touchdowns, and he was RB5 in points per game. He is expected to eclipse those numbers in 2024, with head coach Mike McDaniel saying over the offseason that Achane should get a heavier workload.

Achane will still have to compete for touches with veteran back Raheem Mostert. However, Achane has a much lower ADP and is projected to be off the board much quicker in average Fantasy drafts. His youth and upside make it easy to see why the SportsLine model is high on Achane heading into the 2024 season.See more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here.

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists 49ers receiver Deebo Samuel as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. Samuel has proven to be one of the most dynamic players in the NFL, but his fantasy football production hasn't always matched up to the impact he has on games. The former South Carolina star has one career 1,000-yard receiving season (2021), and only two seasons with double digit touchdowns (2021 and 2023).

Samuel has to compete for targets and touches with the likes of Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, and Brandon Aiyuk, which alone limits his fantasy potential. He has also missed games due to injury in four of his five NFL seasons. Samuel is currently going off the board in the third round on average with an ADP of 29.4 in CBS Sports fantasy drafts. He is being taken ahead of guys like Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp, and Nico Collins, who are all projected to finish higher than him in SportsLine's fantasy rankings.See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron Rodgers.You can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.

Fantasy football rankings 2024: Sleepers, busts, breakouts from model that nailed Deebo Samuel's slow NFL year (2024)

FAQs

Who has been the most accurate fantasy football projections? ›

John Paulsen: The Mastermind Behind the Rankings

Renowned as one of the industry's best, Paulsen has twice been crowned the Most Accurate Fantasy Football Expert by FantasyPros, further solidifying 4for4.com's dominance.

What is a sleeper pick in fantasy football? ›

A "sleeper" is a player who is not being valued properly in the fantasy football community.

What is breakout age fantasy football? ›

Quarterback breakout ages are determined by their age when they first posted a QBR of 50 or higher in a college season, and quarterbacks must average 20 or more action plays per team game played to qualify.

Who is a good player for fantasy football? ›

Jayden Daniels averages at least 21 fantasy points per game

Jalen Hurts averaged over 23 fantasy points per start in 2020 despite completing 51.9% of his passes. That same season, Taysom Hill averaged 21.6 fantasy points per game during his four starts at quarterback.

Who should I draft first in fantasy football 2024? ›

Round 1, Picks 1-12: Draft a wide receiver

No quarterback or tight end is worth a first-round pick this year. Bijan Robinson and Breece Hall are both worthy of being selected in the first round, but both also have slightly higher ADPs than they should, given the talent at wide receiver.

Who should I pick #1 overall in fantasy football? ›

Top Target: Christian McCaffrey (Player Profile)

McCaffrey should be the 1.01 because he is far ahead of his competition.

Who is the best Sleeper pick in 2024 fantasy football? ›

Fantasy Football: 7 sleepers to target in 2024
  • QB Will Levis, Tennessee Titans.
  • QB Drake Maye, New England Patriots.
  • RB Dylan Laube, Las Vegas Raiders.
  • RB Chuba Hubbard, Carolina Panthers.
  • WR Josh Palmer, Los Angeles Chargers.
  • WR Khalil Shakir, Buffalo Bills.
  • TE Zach Ertz, Washington Commanders.
Aug 27, 2024

How to get 100x on Sleeper? ›

Accumulate the highest "VS Score" in your pool and win 100x your entry fee. In the event of a tie for 1st place, the 100x multiplier will be split across all 1st place contests. For example, if there are four contests tied for 1st, each would be eligible to receive a 25x payout (100x ÷ 4).

How many people use Sleeper fantasy? ›

Fantasy sports app Sleeper is set to launch a new media business, with its eyes on capturing a larger share of online sports conversations. The company, which boasts 5 million monthly active users, plans to invest “in the mid-seven figures” in Sleeper Media, an effort to get content creators to post on the platform.

What age do WR fall off? ›

While WRs begin to decline at age 30, elite WRs have fared well, averaging 16.4 points per game — above the WR1 threshold. Since 2011, none posted a cliff year (WRX), and half retained WR1 status. At ages 31 and 32, the upside for a WR1 season is still there, with roughly half remaining above 16 points per game.

Is collusion cheating in fantasy football? ›

Dropping a player so another team can pick up that player is another example of collusive transactions. Teams found in violation of this policy will be canceled and their team managers will be prohibited from participating in future ESPN Fantasy Games.

Is 14 too many for a fantasy football league? ›

14 TO 16 TEAMS

If you get a significant number of people interested in your league, you can certainly run with more than 12 and still have a great time.

What players to avoid in fantasy football 2024? ›

Fantasy Football: 5 players to avoid in drafts in 2024
  • RB Rachaad White, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (ADP: 4.04, From consensus ADP)
  • RB Zamir White, Las Vegas Raiders (ADP: 7.01)
  • WR Christian Kirk, Jacksonville Jaguars (ADP: 6.11)
  • WR Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers (ADP: 7.09)
  • TE Cole Kmet, Chicago Bears (ADP: 12.05)
3 days ago

Who is the best fantasy football player in 2024? ›

2024 Fantasy Football Rankings
  • RB Christian McCaffrey, SF.
  • WR CeeDee Lamb, DAL.
  • WR Tyreek Hill, MIA.
  • RB Breece Hall, NYJ.
  • RB Bijan Robinson, ATL.
  • WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET.
  • WR Justin Jefferson, MIN.
  • WR A.J. Brown, PHI.
2 days ago

Who to avoid in fantasy draft? ›

5 fantasy football picks to avoid in your draft
  • QB Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts. Credit: Albert Cesare/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK. ...
  • RB Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings & Zamir White, Las Vegas Raiders. ...
  • WR Keenan Allen, Chicago Bears. ...
  • WR DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles. ...
  • TE David Njoku, Cleveland Browns.
6 days ago

How accurate are NFL fantasy football projections? ›

Our projections are only as accurate as (the aggregate of) the underlying sources of projections. Nevertheless, the “wisdom of the crowd” is the most accurate of all fantasy football projections, and accounts for about one-half to two-thirds of the variance in players' performance (see here).

Who to pick at 4 fantasy football? ›

Perfect 2024 fantasy football draft strategy, round by round for 12-team leagues: Pick No. 4. A top-five wide receiver is guaranteed: The first six picks in most drafts should be Christian McCaffrey and the top-five wide receivers. Ja'Marr Chase is the ideal option from the fourth pick.

What is the most popular scoring system in fantasy football? ›

While standard fantasy football scoring is the most common, PPR scoring systems awarding points for every reception are gaining steam as the league continues to be pass-heavy. Regardless of the system, make sure you take fantasy football scoring types into account as you get ready to join a league.

Who is the most picked fantasy football? ›

Consensus of 116 Experts (179 available) - Aug 28, 2024
RKPlayer NamePOS
Tier 1
1C. McCaffrey (SF)RB1
2C. Lamb (DAL)WR1
3T. Hill (MIA)WR2
33 more rows

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